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Republican state Rep. Guillen predicts South Texas voters will shift leftward

State Rep. Ryan Guillen, a Republican whose district is anchored in Rio Grande City, predicted that South Texas voters will shift leftward in November's election, reversing their 2024 rightward movement. Guillen said a "correction" is coming but that Republicans' baseline with Latino voters remains higher than before recent years.

Where
South Texas, Starr County, Rio Grande City
When
Oct. 26, 2026
Sources
One outlet

Counties: Starr

Taxes and money

None stated in sources.

Does this affect you?

Coming up

  • Tuesday, November 3, 2026. November midterm elections in South Texas1

Who's involved

  • Ryan GuillenRepublican state representative, Rio Grande City district; chair of Texas House Hispanic Republican Caucus
  • Dade PhelanFormer Texas House Speaker
  • Ken PaxtonRepublican nominee for U.S. Senate
  • James TalaricoDemocratic nominee for U.S. Senate

The facts

  • Starr County is 97% Latino and voted Republican for U.S. president in 2024 for first time since 1896.1
  • Guillen has served in Texas House for a quarter century and previously served as a Democrat before switching to Republican Party in 2021.1
  • Guillen passed 22 bills in the last session, tied for the top mark in the Texas House.1
  • Guillen was tapped to chair a panel to oversee firearm proposals in first session after Robb Elementary School shooting in Uvalde.1

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

  • Ryan Guillen There's gonna be a correction in South Texas voting patterns; the big question is to what degree.1
  • Ryan Guillen People in the region are conservative and GOP's baseline with South Texas Latino voters remains higher than before recent years.1
  • Ryan Guillen Voters prefer candidates and people they like, trust and can work with over party label.1
  • Dade Phelan Guillen is a level-headed man who did an excellent job chairing firearm proposals panel.1
  • Some Republicans 2024 GOP gains in South Texas were sign of voters rejecting Biden's handling of economy and border, not embrace of Republican Party.1

Sources

Outlets: 1 left-leaning Only left-leaning outlets reported this Who's covering Texas →

These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.

  1. GOP Rep. Ryan Guillen predicts South Texas will shift leftward The Texas Tribune Lean Left, October 26, 2026

This sheet was written by AI from the sources above and adds nothing they don't state. Read the originals for full context.

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Texas voters to elect state comptroller on Nov. 3

Texas will hold an election for state comptroller on Nov. 3, 2026. Four candidates are running: Republican Don Huffines, Democrat Sarah Eckhardt, Libertarian Alonzo Echavarria-Garza, and Green Party candidate Shehla Faizi.

Don Huffines, Incumbent Republican candidate for Texas comptroller; Sarah Eckhardt, Democratic candidate for Texas comptroller; Alonzo Echavarria-Garza, Libertarian candidate for Texas comptroller and 2 more

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Democratic gubernatorial nominee Hinojosa continues statewide campaign tour

Democratic nominee for Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa conducted a statewide "One Fight Tour" to mobilize voters ahead of the election. She held rallies in multiple cities, visited college campuses, and participated in block walks and get-out-the-vote initiatives.

Gina Hinojosa, Democratic nominee for Texas Governor; Greg Abbott, Incumbent mentioned in campaign context

Reported by 4 outletsFound via Google News

Abbott campaign claims Hinojosa voted 40 times to raise property taxes

An Abbott campaign ad claims State Representative Gina Hinojosa voted 40 times to raise property taxes. A fact-checker found the claim is true but misleading: 10 bills between 2017 and 2025, with multiple votes per bill counted separately. The 2026 Texas gubernatorial race has tightened as election day approaches.

Abbott campaign claims governor has delivered historic property tax cuts and will save the average Texas homeowner over $3,000 per year next session; Hinojosa opposed those cuts, according to the Abbott campaign.

Greg Abbott, incumbent governor, Republican candidate for reelection; Gina Hinojosa, state representative, Democratic candidate for governor; Texans for Greg Abbott, political committee paying for the ad and 2 more

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Latin Grammy winner Pulido campaigns for Texas 15th congressional district

Bobby Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano music singer, is running as a Democrat to flip Texas's 15th congressional district, which has been represented by Republican Monica De La Cruz since 2023. Pulido held a campaign rally in Weslaco on Sunday with the band Los Tigres del Norte.

Bobby Pulido, Democratic candidate for Texas 15th congressional district; Monica De La Cruz, Republican representative for Texas 15th congressional district since 2023; Los Tigres del Norte, Band that performed at Pulido's rally

Reported by 2 outletsOnly right-leaning outlets reported thisFound via Google News

Poll shows Democrats ahead in all Texas statewide races

A 254 Labs poll conducted Oct. 21-26 surveyed 1,000 registered voters and found Democrats leading Republicans in every statewide race in Texas for the Nov. 3 elections. President Trump campaigned in Texas on Oct. 29 to support Republican candidates, appearing at the Port of Corpus Christi and in Lubbock.

$45 billion for cost savings from terminating methane regulations

James Talarico, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate; Ken Paxton, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate; Gina Hinojosa, Democratic candidate for governor and 9 more

Reported by 2 outletsOnly left-leaning outlets reported thisFound via Google News

Texas sees high early voting turnout in 2026 midterm election

Texas reported over 5.8 million early votes cast as of late October 2026, representing 21% of the state's roughly 19 million registered voters. Early voting continues through Friday. Texas is showing the highest above-average turnout rate nationally, with surge in voting from border counties with large Hispanic populations.

Erica Smith, Prosper Junior, early voter; Dr. David Bridge, Associate professor of political science; Prof Mike McDonald, Director, University of Florida Election Lab

Reported by 3 outletsFound via Google News

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