A 254 Labs poll conducted Oct. 21-26 surveyed 1,000 registered voters and found Democrats leading Republicans in every statewide race in Texas for the Nov. 3 elections. President Trump campaigned in Texas on Oct. 29 to support Republican candidates, appearing at the Port of Corpus Christi and in Lubbock.
Where
Statewide
When
Oct. 29, 2026
Sources
Reported by 2 outlets
Taxes and money
The sources don't state an effect on taxes. They do state these figures.
Cost savings from terminating methane regulations$45 billion1Who pays or receives it: consumers and energy producers
Coming up
Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Texas statewide elections: U.S. Senate, governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general, railroad commissioner (Statewide)1
Who's involved
James TalaricoDemocratic candidate for U.S. Senate
Ken PaxtonRepublican candidate for U.S. Senate
Gina HinojosaDemocratic candidate for governor
Greg AbbottRepublican candidate for governor
Vikki GoodwinDemocratic candidate for lieutenant governor
Dan PatrickRepublican candidate for lieutenant governor
Nathan JohnsonDemocratic candidate for attorney general
Mayes MiddletonRepublican candidate for attorney general
Jon RosenthalDemocratic candidate for railroad commissioner
Bo FrenchRepublican candidate for railroad commissioner
Donald TrumpPresident, campaigned for Republican candidates
254 LabsPolling organization
The facts
254 Labs poll of 1,000 registered voters conducted Oct. 21-26, weighted to likely-voter targets.1
Poll shows Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 43% in U.S. Senate race, 5% undecided.1
Among independent voters, Talarico leads Paxton 60% to 31%, 5% undecided.1
Among voters more enthusiastic about voting in November than previous elections, Talarico leads 57% to 41%.1
Hinojosa leads Abbott 49% to 46% in gubernatorial race, lieutenant governor race shows Goodwin leading Patrick 48% to 45%.1
Trump appeared at Port of Corpus Christi and Lubbock on Oct. 29 to campaign for Republican candidates.1
Trump announced termination of Biden methane regulations for oil and gas producers.1
Trump has made three trips to Texas in October to campaign for Paxton.1
Who said what
These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.
Donald Trump Terminating Biden methane rules will save $45 billion, unlock Texas natural gas, produce 210 million barrels of oil.1
Donald Trump Oil tanker at Port of Corpus Christi holds Venezuelan crude from first deal under his administration.1
Donald Trump Texas oil victory is the greatest in history.1
Where the sources disagree
Record of Democratic victory in Texas statewide races Source [1] says 30 years of Republican voting; headline [2] references 40-year record
How they headlined it
The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.
Red state apocalypse: Stunning poll shows Democrats sweeping across Texas
These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.
Texas will hold an election for state comptroller on Nov. 3, 2026. Four candidates are running: Republican Don Huffines, Democrat Sarah Eckhardt, Libertarian Alonzo Echavarria-Garza, and Green Party candidate Shehla Faizi.
Don Huffines, Incumbent Republican candidate for Texas comptroller; Sarah Eckhardt, Democratic candidate for Texas comptroller; Alonzo Echavarria-Garza, Libertarian candidate for Texas comptroller and 2 more
Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee for Texas governor, has traveled more than 3,000 miles across Texas in nearly two weeks as part of her "One Fight" get-out-the-vote tour that started October 18, holding rallies, visiting college campuses, and meeting voters at polls.
Gina Hinojosa, Democratic nominee for Texas governor; Greg Abbott, Texas governor (mentioned in campaign messaging)
An Abbott campaign ad claims State Representative Gina Hinojosa voted 40 times to raise property taxes. A fact-checker found the claim is true but misleading: 10 bills between 2017 and 2025, with multiple votes per bill counted separately. The 2026 Texas gubernatorial race has tightened as election day approaches.
$Abbott campaign claims governor has delivered historic property tax cuts and will save the average Texas homeowner over $3,000 per year next session; Hinojosa opposed those cuts, according to the Abbott campaign.
Greg Abbott, incumbent governor, Republican candidate for reelection; Gina Hinojosa, state representative, Democratic candidate for governor; Texans for Greg Abbott, political committee paying for the ad and 2 more
Bobby Pulido, a Latin Grammy-winning Tejano music singer, is running as a Democrat to flip Texas's 15th congressional district, which has been represented by Republican Monica De La Cruz since 2023. Pulido held a campaign rally in Weslaco on Sunday with the band Los Tigres del Norte.
Bobby Pulido, Democratic candidate for Texas 15th congressional district; Monica De La Cruz, Republican representative for Texas 15th congressional district since 2023; Los Tigres del Norte, Band that performed at Pulido's rally
Texas reported over 5.8 million early votes cast as of late October 2026, representing 21% of the state's roughly 19 million registered voters. Early voting continues through Friday. Texas is showing the highest above-average turnout rate nationally, with surge in voting from border counties with large Hispanic populations.
Erica Smith, Prosper Junior, early voter; Dr. David Bridge, Associate professor of political science; Prof Mike McDonald, Director, University of Florida Election Lab
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's office filed a lawsuit Thursday against Harris County Clerk Teneshia Hudspeth and director of communications Irene Nuñez, alleging they ran social media advertisements targeting specific racial and ethnic groups. Paxton recused himself from the investigation because he is running for Texas Senate against Democrat James Talarico.
$$40,000 to $43,429 for social media advertising spending
Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General, Republican candidate for Texas Senate; Teneshia Hudspeth, Harris County Clerk; Irene Nuñez, Harris County Clerk's office director of communications and 2 more
A federal jury in Fort Worth convicted Khalwinder Singh Bhengura, a lawful permanent resident from India, of voting illegally in the 2024 presidential election after falsely claiming U.S. citizenship on a Texas driver license application.
$$250,000 for maximum fine for false citizenship claim
Khalwinder Singh Bhengura, Defendant convicted of voting by an alien and falsely claiming citizenship; U.S. District Judge Mark T. Pittman, Judge presiding over trial; U.S. Attorney Ryan Raybould, Federal prosecutor making announcement
Transgender Education Network of Texas (TENT) filed a lawsuit seeking depositions to identify who sent unsolicited text messages and mailers impersonating the organization. TENT denies involvement and says the campaign violated Texas impersonation laws.
Transgender Education Network of Texas (TENT), plaintiff filing pre-suit discovery petition; Mimi Murray Digby Marziani, attorney for TENT; Texas Transgender Student Union LLC, Wyoming-based company named in petition, allegedly coordinated campaign and 2 more