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Poll shows Pulido leading De La Cruz in Texas 15th Congressional District race

A poll shows Democratic candidate Bobby Pulido leading Republican Congresswoman Monica De La Cruz in the race for Texas's 15th Congressional District, with the election days away. The survey found Pulido favored by South Texas voters who supported Trump in 2024.

Where
Texas 15th Congressional District
When
Oct. 21, 2026
Sources
Reported by 2 outlets

Counties: Nueces Kleberg Jim Wells Starr Zapata Webb Hidalgo Willacy Atascosa Live Oak Bee

Taxes and money

None stated in sources.

Does this affect you?

Who's involved

  • Bobby PulidoDemocratic candidate for Texas 15th Congressional District
  • Monica De La CruzRepublican U.S. Representative seeking re-election in Texas 15th Congressional District
  • Mark JonesPolitical scientist at Rice University and co-director of poll
  • Texas Southern University's Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterConducted the poll
  • San Antonio Express-News, El Pais and Puente News CollaborativeCommissioned the poll

The facts

  • Poll conducted Oct. 13-16 found Pulido 51% to De La Cruz 44% among likely voters.1
  • Among Latino likely voters, Pulido led 57% to De La Cruz 40%, with Latinos representing 65% of district voters.1
  • Pulido led among independents 55% to De La Cruz 33%.1
  • Poll margin of error was 3.8% with 5% of voters undecided; conducted in Spanish and English.1
  • District was redrawn in summer 2025 by Texas legislature to cut north from borderlands to conservative counties east of San Antonio.1
  • In 2024, Latinos in the 15th district, 80% of its population, voted mostly Republican for Donald Trump.2
  • Pulido is a tejano musician with 31 years performing solo and with his father Roberto Pulido.2
  • Cook Political Report rates 15th District race as a toss-up.1

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

  • Mark Jones, Rice University political scientist If economy was booming, Republicans would do much better in South Texas; economy is not booming.1
  • Bobby Pulido I'm not running to turn Republican red state blue; I'm not talking about colors but things that matter to people.2
  • Bobby Pulido Politics runs in my blood; I'm carving out my own path doing field campaigning with people in streets.2
  • Bobby Pulido He has visited communities in northern counties where people said they had not seen Democrat in 10 years.2

Where the sources disagree

  • Latino population percentage of 15th District 82% per [1]; 80% per [2]

How they headlined it

The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.

  • Bobby Pulido, the tejano music icon who could flip a Texas border district: ‘If not me, then who?’

    EL PAÍS English

  • New poll shows Tejano star Bobby Pulido is poised to flip TX-15 in battle for border voters

    Texas Standard

Sources

Outlets: 2 not rated Who's covering Texas →

These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.

  1. New poll shows Tejano star Bobby Pulido is poised to flip TX-15 in battle for border voters Texas Standard Not rated, October 21, 2026
  2. Bobby Pulido, the tejano music icon who could flip a Texas border district: ‘If not me, then who?’ EL PAÍS English Not rated, October 21, 2026

This sheet was written by AI from the sources above and adds nothing they don't state. Read the originals for full context.

Spot an error on this sheet?

All corrections and updates

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