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University of Texas poll shows Democrats leading in most Texas statewide races

A University of Texas at Austin poll conducted September 25 to October 5 found Democrats holding narrow leads in most Texas statewide races, within the margin of error. The poll was released October 14.

Where
Statewide
When
Oct. 14, 2026
Sources
Reported by 11 outlets

Taxes and money

None stated in sources.

Does this affect you?

Coming up

  • Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Texas general election (Statewide)4

Who's involved

  • University of Texas at Austin/Texas Politics Projectconducted poll
  • James TalaricoDemocratic U.S. Senate nominee
  • Ken PaxtonRepublican U.S. Senate candidate
  • Vikki GoodwinDemocratic lieutenant governor candidate
  • Dan PatrickRepublican lieutenant governor candidate
  • Gina HinojosaDemocratic governor candidate
  • Greg AbbottRepublican governor incumbent
  • Nathan JohnsonDemocratic attorney general candidate
  • Jon RosenthalDemocratic Railroad Commission candidate
  • Don HuffinesRepublican comptroller candidate
  • Sarah EckhardtDemocratic comptroller candidate
  • James HensonDirector of Texas Politics Project

The facts

  • Talarico led Paxton 50-47 in Senate race among all voters; Talarico among women, Latinos, urban/suburban; Paxton among men, rural.4
  • Goodwin held 3-point lead over Patrick in lieutenant governor race.1
  • Johnson held 1-point lead over Republican in attorney general race.1
  • Hinojosa held 1-point lead over Abbott in governor race among likely voters.1
  • Hinojosa led independents 67-17 and Hispanic voters 56-42.1
  • Rosenthal held 1-point lead in Railroad Commission race.1
  • Huffines held 1-point edge in comptroller race over Eckhardt.1
  • Poll included 1,200 registered voters and 821 likely voters; margin of error 3%.1 4 Stated by 2 sources
  • Seventy-two percent of Democrats were extremely or very enthusiastic about election vs. 62% of Republicans.1
  • Cost of living cited as most important issue by 21% of voters; economy second at 15%.4
  • Early voting begins Oct. 19; election day is Nov. 3.4

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

  • James Henson, director of Texas Politics Project Democratic competitiveness driven by enthusiasm gap; Republican campaigns will try to drive up Democratic negatives and stir Republican electorate.1

Where the sources disagree

  • Hinojosa's position in governor race Talarico led Paxton by 3 points per UT poll [1]; Hinojosa trailed Abbott by 4 points among likely voters per separate Marist poll [1]

How they headlined it

The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.

  • New poll finds Democrats leading in nearly every statewide contest

    Houston Chronicle

  • Today on Texas Standard: New UT poll shows unusually tight statewide races

    Texas Standard

  • New Texas poll shows Democrats leading nearly all statewide races

    WFAA, 12newsnow.com, KCENTV.com

  • It’s not just Talarico. New Texas poll shows Dems statistically tied in key statewide races

    The Texas Tribune, KSAT, KWTX, HPPR

  • Latest polls: Key Texas races statistically tied

    The Center Square

  • New poll shows Democrats leading in Texas race

    cbs19.tv

  • Texas Senate, governor races tighten as new poll shows Democrats leading

    WFAA

  • New poll shows Democrats ahead in most statewide races

    KSAT

Sources

Outlets: 1 left-leaning, 4 not rated Only left-leaning outlets reported this Who's covering Texas →

These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.

  1. New poll finds Democrats leading in nearly every statewide contest Houston Chronicle Not rated, October 14, 2026
  2. New Texas poll shows Democrats leading nearly all statewide races WFAA Not rated, October 14, 2026
  3. New poll shows Democrats leading in Texas race cbs19.tv Not rated, October 14, 2026
  4. New poll shows Democrats ahead in most statewide races KSAT Not rated, October 14, 2026
  5. Election Dispatches: Talarico Remains Ahead in Texas Senate Race, Polls Show, but His Lead Has Narrowed The New York Times Lean Left, October 14, 2026

Also reported by Texas Standard, 12newsnow.com, KCENTV.com, The Texas Tribune, The Center Square, KWTX, HPPR, FOX 26 Houston, News Radio 1200 WOAI, News Radio 1200 WOAI, NewsRadio 740 KTRH, The Barbed Wire.

This sheet was written by AI from the sources above and adds nothing they don't state. Read the originals for full context.

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