Prediction market platforms show Republican Gov. Greg Abbott favored over Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa in Tuesday's gubernatorial election, though Hinojosa's odds have risen significantly in recent months. More than 7.7 million Texans cast early ballots.
Where
Texas statewide
When
November 2, 2026
Sources
Reported by 4 outlets
Taxes and money
The sources don't state an effect on taxes. They do state these figures.
Investment including three new data center campuses$40 billion2Who pays or receives it: Google
Coming up
Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Texas gubernatorial election between Abbott and Hinojosa (Texas)2
Who's involved
Greg AbbottRepublican governor seeking reelection
Gina HinojosaDemocratic state representative seeking governorship
GoogleMade $40 billion investment including data center campuses in Texas
The facts
On Kalshi, speculators gave Abbott a 60% chance of winning on Monday.2
Hinojosa's odds rose from 8% in mid-July to 40% on Monday on Kalshi.2
On Polymarket, Hinojosa's chances climbed from as low as 5% in late July to 39% on Monday.2
Abbott ordered an audit of data center facilities seeking to connect to Texas grid in August.2
Abbott halted approval of all data center-related permits pending an audit in September.2
More than 7.7 million Texans cast ballots after in-person early voting ended Friday.2
Who said what
These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.
Gina Hinojosa's campaign Calls for immediate moratorium on data centers until legislature establishes guardrails for industry.2
Political observers Watching the contest for evidence of voter backlash against AI data center development.2
Gina Hinojosa Criticized Abbott over his earlier support for data center expansion.2
Where the sources disagree
Hinojosa is seeking to become Texas' first Democratic governor in more than 30 years More than 30 years stated per [2]
How they headlined it
The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.
Texas governor race: Greg Abbott seeks a record fourth term as polls put Gina Hinojosa within a few points
These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.
More than 7 million Texans voted early ahead of the November 4, 2026 midterm elections, about 1.5 million more than early voting in Texas during 2022. Early voting nationwide surpassed 50.5 million.
University of Florida Election Lab, Tracked early voting data; Vote-Hub and Ryan Data and Research, Analyzed early voter turnout by primary history
With Social Security's trust fund projected to be depleted in late 2032 without congressional action, Senate candidates in nine competitive races have outlined or discussed their positions on program reforms. Most voters surveyed say they prefer candidates with plans to avoid automatic benefit cuts.
Dan Sullivan, incumbent Republican Senator from Alaska; Mary Peltola, former Democratic Representative from Alaska; Peter G. Peterson Foundation, nonpartisan organization that surveyed voters and 5 more
Tarrant County's Commissioner's Court voted in September to close 92 polling locations, reducing the number from 316 in the 2022 midterms to 224 for 2026. Community and advocacy groups launched campaigns to help voters adapt to the changes.
Tarrant County Commissioner's Court, Voted to close polling locations; Matt Krause, Republican county commissioner who voted for the cuts; Roderick Miles, Jr., Democratic county commissioner and 3 more
Multiple North Texas public transit agencies are offering free rides to voters on Election Day, November 3, 2026. Riders must show a valid voter registration card or government-issued ID. The offer applies to DART buses, trains, the Silver Line, GoLink, the Dallas Streetcar, Paratransit Services, Trinity Railway Express, Trinity Metro buses, and STAR Transit services.
DART, transit agency offering free rides; Trenise Winters, EVP and chief operations officer of DART; Trinity Metro, transit agency offering free rides and 1 more
The Dallas Morning News published an op-ed on October 31 by Suzanne Bellsnyder endorsing Democrat Gina Hinojosa without disclosing that Bellsnyder was a paid consultant to Hinojosa's campaign. An editor's note was added November 1 admitting the omission.
$$57,000 for consulting payments
Suzanne Bellsnyder, op-ed author, paid consultant to Gina Hinojosa campaign; Gina Hinojosa, Democrat legislator endorsed in op-ed; The Dallas Morning News, newspaper that published op-ed without disclosure
A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas U.S. Senate race ahead of Election Day on November 3. Multiple polls show Democratic Senate candidates ahead or tied in several races nationwide.
James Talarico, Democratic candidate for Texas U.S. Senate; Ken Paxton, Republican candidate for Texas U.S. Senate, Texas Attorney General; Government Accountability Institute, Released report on election integrity threats and 2 more
James Talarico, a U.S. Senate candidate in Texas, praised Frederick Haynes III, a Democratic congressional candidate for Texas' 30th Congressional District, at a get-out-the-vote event on Thursday. Haynes introduced Talarico and spoke at the event as part of Talarico's Clear Eyes Full Hearts tour.
James Talarico, U.S. Senate candidate in Texas; Frederick Haynes III, Democratic congressional candidate for Texas' 30th Congressional District; Jasmine Crockett, Incumbent representative in Texas' 30th Congressional District
El Paso County opened 20 additional Voter Service and Polling Centers ahead of Election Day, bringing the total to 26 locations by Nov. 1. Another 15 will open Nov. 2, for a total of 41 by Election Day on Nov. 3.
Steve Schleiker, El Paso County Clerk and Recorder; El Paso County Clerk and Recorder's Office, Election administration