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Elections Updated October 29, 10:30 am

Update, October 29. Updated October 29, 10:30 am Central with new reporting: 4 separate outlets now report this.

Democratic Senate candidate leads Republican in Texas poll

Polls conducted in late October show Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race in Texas. A separate poll also shows Democrat Gina Hinojosa leading Republican Greg Abbott in the governor's race.

Where
Statewide
When
Late October 2026, conducted over the past week starting Oct. 20
Sources
Reported by 5 outlets

Taxes and money

None stated in sources.

Does this affect you?

Coming up

  • Tuesday, November 3, 2026. U.S. midterm election in Texas (Statewide)4

Who's involved

  • James TalaricoDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate
  • Ken PaxtonRepublican U.S. Senate nominee
  • Gina HinojosaDemocratic gubernatorial candidate
  • Greg AbbottRepublican gubernatorial candidate
  • CNNpolling organization
  • 254 Labs/YouGov Bluepolling organization

The facts

  • CNN polls conducted over past week starting Oct. 20 show Talarico leading Paxton by 6 points.4
  • 254 Labs/YouGov Blue poll shows Talarico leading Paxton 51% to 43%.1
  • CNN polls show Hinojosa leading Abbott 49% to 46%.1
  • Margins of error in CNN polls range from plus or minus 4.2 to 4.7 percentage points.4
  • Texas last elected a Democratic U.S. senator in 1988.4
  • Republicans have 53-47 seat advantage in U.S. Senate before Nov. 3 election.4
  • Democrats need net gain of four Senate seats to take control of Senate.4

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

  • CNN Talarico's and Hinojosa's leads are outside margins of error.4
  • USA Today Democrats are in strong position to take control of Senate.4

Where the sources disagree

  • Talarico's lead over Paxton 51% to 43% per [1]; 49% to 43% (6-point lead) per [4]

How they headlined it

The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.

  • Democrats Open Leads in Texas

    Political Wire

  • CNN poll: Democrat Senate candidates take the lead in Texas and Michigan

    CNN

  • Harry Enten Floored By Dems' 'Earth Shattering' TX Numbers

    Mediaite

  • SHOCK POLLS: Democrat Up by 4 in Kansas, as CNN Shows Republicans Trailing in 4 Key Senate Races

    Mediaite

  • Democrats open leads in four key Senate battlegrounds, CNN polls find

    USA Today

  • CNN Data Guru Harry Enten Floored by Dem’s Lead in Deep Red State of Texas

    The Daily Beast

Sources

Outlets: 2 left-leaning, 2 not rated Only left-leaning outlets reported this Who's covering Texas →

These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.

  1. Democrats Open Leads in Texas Political Wire Not rated, October 28, 2026
  2. CNN poll: Democrat Senate candidates take the lead in Texas and Michigan CNN Lean Left, October 29, 2026
  3. SHOCK POLLS: Democrat Up by 4 in Kansas, as CNN Shows Republicans Trailing in 4 Key Senate Races Mediaite Lean Left, October 29, 2026
  4. Democrats open leads in four key Senate battlegrounds, CNN polls find USA Today Not rated, October 29, 2026

Also reported by The Daily Beast.

This sheet was written by AI from the sources above and adds nothing they don't state. Read the originals for full context.

Spot an error on this sheet?

All corrections and updates

Keep reading

Texas comptroller candidates differ on school voucher fund expansion

The 2026 race for Texas comptroller features a Republican, Democrat, Libertarian and Green Party candidate competing to oversee the state's $1 billion school voucher fund (TEFA). Republican Don Huffines, the current comptroller, supports doubling the fund's budget for the next biennium. Democrat Sarah Eckhardt opposes rapid expansion before evaluating program results.

$1 billion for Texas Education Freedom Accounts (TEFA) current fund size

Don Huffines, Republican comptroller candidate and current comptroller; Sarah Eckhardt, Democratic state senator and comptroller candidate; Greg Abbott, Governor who appointed Huffines as comptroller and 3 more

One outletFound via Google News

Vice President Vance campaigns in Weatherford five days before election

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JD Vance, Vice President, campaigning; Texas Republican Party, Organizer of event; Weatherford police, Traffic control and 1 more

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Bexar County will delay releasing early voting results until all voters cast ballots

Bexar County Elections Administrator Michele Carew announced she will not release early voting and mail-in ballot results until all voters in line have cast their ballots on election night, a departure from most Texas counties' practice of releasing those results shortly after polls close at 7 p.m.

Michele Carew, Bexar County Elections Administrator

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Democratic Senate candidate Talarico campaigns in Amarillo ahead of Nov. 3

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico campaigned in Amarillo on Oct. 28, 2026, drawing a crowd and responding to questions about attack ads, costs for Texas families, and data-center growth. Polls show the race described as a statistical dead heat.

$200 per year for annual savings from suspending federal diesel tax

James Talarico, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate; Ken Paxton, Republican U.S. Senate candidate

Reported by 2 outletsOnly right-leaning outlets reported thisFound via Google News

Survey shows South Asian American support for Democratic candidates in midterms

Two surveys of South Asian American voters found strong support for Democratic candidates in the November 3 midterm elections. A national survey showed 25% of South Asian Trump 2024 voters plan to support Democrats, while a Texas survey found 63% backing gubernatorial nominee Gina Hinojosa over Governor Greg Abbott.

Indian American Impact, advocacy group that conducted national survey; SAAVETX EF (South Asian American Voter Empowerment of Texas Education Fund) and University of California San Diego, organizations that conducted Texas survey; James Talarico, Democratic nominee for Texas Senate and 5 more

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Potter County GOP sues to require hand count of all Texas ballots

The Potter County Republican Party filed a federal lawsuit in Amarillo seeking to require every Texas ballot to be hand counted before Nov. 3 midterm election results can be certified. The lawsuit argues voting machines may be vulnerable to manipulation but does not provide evidence of actual vulnerabilities or past election tampering.

Potter County Republican Party, plaintiff in lawsuit; U.S. District Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk, assigned judge; Potter County election administrator, defendant

One outletOnly left-leaning outlets reported thisFound via Google News

Texas data center opposition emerges as potential factor in midterm races

Data center expansion has become a contested election issue in Texas as voters oppose construction. Democratic candidates are using opposition to data centers to attack Republican incumbents, while polling shows strong statewide resistance to the facilities, particularly in rural areas.

James Talarico, Democratic Senate candidate; Ken Paxton, Republican Senate incumbent; Gina Hinojosa, Democratic gubernatorial candidate and 6 more

Reported by 2 outletsFound via Google News

Harris County Elections accused of targeting demographic groups in voting ads

Harris County Elections Department is accused of targeting nonwhite, Spanish-speaking audiences in early voting reminder ads using Meta's detailed targeting function. Investigative researcher Parker Thayer reported the county spent $43,000 on ads using filters for racial and language targeting.

$43,000 for spending on early voting reminder ads

Parker Thayer, Investigative researcher, Capital Research Center; Harris County Elections Department, Accused of targeting demographics in ads; Christine Welborn, President, Advancing Integrity and 1 more

Reported by 4 outletsFound via Google News

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