Analyst says Texas Senate race about Paxton, not Democratic shift

Who's involved

• Chris StirewaltNewsNation analyst; host of "The Hill Sunday"
• Ken PaxtonRepublican U.S. Senate candidate
• James TalaricoDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate
• Trump's MAGA Inc. super PACspending money on the race

The facts

• Stirewalt brought his show to State Fair of Texas as race had two weeks until early voting.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources
• Polls showed 3-4% of voters remained undecided in the race per Stirewalt.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources
• Stirewalt said Paxton would need to carry around 70% of undecided voters.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources
• Trump's super PAC MAGA Inc. started spending money on the race.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources
• Recent polling showed Talarico ahead of Paxton by more than margin of error.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources
• Texas last elected a Democratic U.S. senator in 1988.^{1 4} Stated by 2 sources

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

• Chris Stirewalt Race more about Paxton than the Democratic Party^{1 4}
• Chris Stirewalt Texas has real qualms about staying red on U.S. Senate, not turning blue^{1 4}
• Chris Stirewalt Libertarian voters mostly conservative Republicans protesting Paxton's nomination^{1 4}
• Chris Stirewalt Paxton must convince voters Talarico is unacceptable alternative^{1 4}