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Paxton and Talarico tied in Fox News poll two weeks before Texas Senate election

In a Fox News poll released two weeks before the Texas Senate election, Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are tied at 49% among likely voters. Paxton has gained ground since September, when Talarico led by two percentage points.

Where
Statewide
When
October 21, 2026 (poll published two weeks before the election)
Sources
Reported by 3 outlets

Taxes and money

None stated in sources.

Does this affect you?

Who's involved

  • Ken PaxtonRepublican Senate candidate, Texas attorney general
  • James TalaricoDemocratic Senate candidate

The facts

  • In Fox News poll, Paxton and Talarico tied at 49% among likely Texas voters.3
  • In September, Talarico led Paxton by two percentage points in same poll.3
  • Paxton has 41% favorable rating and 58% unfavorable rating.3
  • Talarico has positive net rating of one point.3
  • Texans prefer Republicans retain Senate control, 51% to 47%.3
  • Hispanic voters favor Talarico by 30 points (64%-34%).3
  • Paxton leads among white evangelicals (+52), rural voters (+21), those over 65 (+18).3
  • 69% of Democrats are extremely interested in election; 61% of Republicans.3

Who said what

These are statements and claims made by the people involved. They are reported, not verified.

  • Fox News Paxton's gains driven by solidifying support from conservatives, rural voters, suburban women, Cornyn primary voters.3
  • Fox News Hispanic voters swinging back toward Democrats in Texas.3

How they headlined it

The same event, as each outlet put it. Marked words appear in only one outlet's headline.

  • Texas Senate race: Paxton rallies in Conroe amid tight polls

    KHOU

  • Ken Paxton rallies in Montgomery County as tight Texas Senate race enters final stretch

    KHOU

  • Paxton campaigns in Houston as Texas Senate race enters final stretch

    cbs19.tv

  • Texas Senate race: Ken Paxton gains ground in latest Fox News poll

    voz.us

Sources

Outlets: 3 not rated Who's covering Texas →

These outlets were found through Google News headlines. Google decides which outlets appear there, and they lean mostly one way, so this sheet can only be as balanced as the reporting it was built from. Leanings are AllSides Media Bias Ratings.

  1. Texas Senate race: Paxton rallies in Conroe amid tight polls KHOU Not rated, October 21, 2026
  2. Paxton campaigns in Houston as Texas Senate race enters final stretch cbs19.tv Not rated, October 21, 2026
  3. Texas Senate race: Ken Paxton gains ground in latest Fox News poll voz.us Not rated, October 21, 2026

This sheet was written by AI from the sources above and adds nothing they don't state. Read the originals for full context.

Spot an error on this sheet?

All corrections and updates

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